Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolves Yes if the published rules for the fictional next round use quadratic voting for final allocations.

Atlas Grants Council is fictional. The scenario tests support for a new allocation method in a future grants round.
Current Yes probability
57%
+5.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 39% |
| Jul 5 | 42% |
| Jul 6 | 46% |
| Jul 7 | 46% |
| Jul 8 | 44% |
| Jul 9 | 44% |
| Jul 10 | 47% |
| Jul 11 | 50% |
| Jul 12 | 49% |
| Jul 13 | 47% |
| Jul 14 | 49% |
| Jul 15 | 52% |
| Jul 16 | 53% |
| Jul 17 | 52% |
| Jul 18 | 52% |
| Jul 19 | 53% |
| Jul 20 | 56% |
| Jul 21 | 56% |
| Jul 22 | 56% |
| Jul 23 | 57% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if the published rules for the fictional next round use quadratic voting for final allocations.
Evidence source
Hypothetical Atlas grants documentation
Adjacent signals