Forecasting environment · simulated markets

Predict the shiftbefore the market tips.

Forecast with practice credits, build a public record, and earn Merit Points without real-money exposure. Precision tools for the predictive mind.

Start predicting Explore markets

Likelihood A

Likelihood B

Evidence shift +0.024

Calibration 88.4%

Simulated balance: 10,000 credits
Financial exposure: No real-money risk
Public record: Every call preserved
Progression: MP → badge tiers

Signal log

Will Solana sustain more than 5,000 non-vote TPS for a full day by March 2027?58%−2.0Closes Mar 31 Will a redesigned local fee-market mechanism activate on Solana mainnet by May 2027?44%+5.0Closes May 31 Will median Solana transaction finality remain below 10 seconds for 30 days?73%+1.0Closed Will a compressed-state protocol revision reach 20 million monthly operations by April 2027?62%+2.0Closes Apr 30

01Primary forecasts

Read the strongest signals without losing the evidence.

One market gets the full decision surface. Nearby forecasts remain compact enough to compare at a glance.

Browse every market

SolanaHighest-conviction signal

Will alternative validator clients exceed 35% of Solana stake by Q2 2027?

02Market taxonomy

Ten fields. One probability language.

Move from protocol mechanics to culture, sport, and world events without relearning how to read the signal.

Field 01

Active fieldSolana68% average Yes · +18 pts from equilibrium

Open field

03Forecast lifecycle

A forecast starts uncertain.The record makes it useful.

Equinox converts one practice decision into a durable public signal. No shortcuts, hidden resets, or real-money exposure.

Sequence

01-05

Exposure

Practice only

Begin your record

Stage 01 · Seed
Output: A clean starting point
10K
Receive a simulated balance
Begin with 10,000 practice credits and zero real-money exposure.
Stage 02 · Decision
Output: A timestamped forecast
Y/N
Record what you believe
Choose Yes or No while preserving the probability and evidence you observed.
Stage 03 · History
Output: Inspectable calibration
94.6
Build a public record
Every resolved call adds context to a transparent forecasting history.
Stage 04 · Merit
Output: Visible progression
+MP
Turn consistency into progress
Participation and correct resolutions add Merit Points to your profile.
Stage 05 · Proof
Output: Collectible proof of skill
ECL
Unlock a material signal
Advance through Dawn, Dusk, and Eclipse as your practice record compounds.

04Merit observatory

Your discipline leaves a visible record.

Inspect each material state. Your MP determines what is earned; the observatory shows what comes next.

View all badge tiers

Preview calibration

Dawn tier · 0 MP

0 MP earned1,000 MP to next tier

Inspecting Dawn

Participation becomes visible

How MP works

05Forecasting credibility

A public record is harder to fake than confidence.

Accuracy, resolved calls, and badge status turn forecasting skill into something inspectable.

Open full leaderboard

RankForecasterAccuracyResolvedStreakMeritMove

01·

@orbitseereclipse forecaster

Your next call becomes part of the record

Make uncertainty legible.

Form a view, record your confidence, and let the resolved outcome sharpen what you see next.

Start predicting Explore markets

Practice credits

No real-money exposure

Public record

Every resolved call preserved

Merit progression

Calibration earns MP

Forecasting environment · simulated markets

Predict the shiftbefore the market tips.

Forecast with practice credits, build a public record, and earn Merit Points without real-money exposure. Precision tools for the predictive mind.

Start predicting Explore markets

Likelihood A

Likelihood B

Evidence shift +0.024

Calibration 88.4%

Simulated balance: 10,000 credits
Financial exposure: No real-money risk
Public record: Every call preserved
Progression: MP → badge tiers

Signal log

01Primary forecasts

Read the strongest signals without losing the evidence.

One market gets the full decision surface. Nearby forecasts remain compact enough to compare at a glance.

Browse every market

SolanaHighest-conviction signal

Will alternative validator clients exceed 35% of Solana stake by Q2 2027?

02Market taxonomy

Ten fields. One probability language.

Move from protocol mechanics to culture, sport, and world events without relearning how to read the signal.

Field 01

Solana

5 markets68% avg. Yes

Field 02

Protocols

5 markets46% avg. Yes

Field 03

Governance

4 markets69% avg. Yes

Field 04

Tokens

4 markets63% avg. Yes

Field 05

Ecosystem

5 markets40% avg. Yes

Field 06

Crypto

4 markets47% avg. Yes

Field 07

Culture

4 markets45% avg. Yes

Field 08

Technology

4 markets56% avg. Yes

Field 09

Sports

3 markets42% avg. Yes

Field 10

World

4 markets66% avg. Yes

Active fieldSolana68% average Yes · +18 pts from equilibrium

Open field

03Forecast lifecycle

A forecast starts uncertain.The record makes it useful.

Equinox converts one practice decision into a durable public signal. No shortcuts, hidden resets, or real-money exposure.

Sequence

01-05

Exposure

Practice only

Begin your record

Stage 01 · Seed
Output: A clean starting point
10K
Receive a simulated balance
Begin with 10,000 practice credits and zero real-money exposure.
Stage 02 · Decision
Output: A timestamped forecast
Y/N
Record what you believe
Choose Yes or No while preserving the probability and evidence you observed.
Stage 03 · History
Output: Inspectable calibration
94.6
Build a public record
Every resolved call adds context to a transparent forecasting history.
Stage 04 · Merit
Output: Visible progression
+MP
Turn consistency into progress
Participation and correct resolutions add Merit Points to your profile.
Stage 05 · Proof
Output: Collectible proof of skill
ECL
Unlock a material signal
Advance through Dawn, Dusk, and Eclipse as your practice record compounds.

04Merit observatory

Your discipline leaves a visible record.

Inspect each material state. Your MP determines what is earned; the observatory shows what comes next.

View all badge tiers

Preview calibration

Dawn tier · 0 MP

0 MP earned1,000 MP to next tier

Inspecting Dawn

Participation becomes visible

How MP works

05Forecasting credibility

A public record is harder to fake than confidence.

Accuracy, resolved calls, and badge status turn forecasting skill into something inspectable.

Open full leaderboard

RankForecasterAccuracyResolvedStreakMeritMove

01·

@orbitseereclipse forecaster

Your next call becomes part of the record

Make uncertainty legible.

Form a view, record your confidence, and let the resolved outcome sharpen what you see next.

Start predicting Explore markets

Practice credits

No real-money exposure

Public record

Every resolved call preserved

Merit progression

Calibration earns MP

Predict the shiftbefore the market tips.

Signal log

Will alternative validator clients exceed 35% of Solana stake by Q2 2027?

Solana

Protocols

Governance

Tokens

Ecosystem

Crypto

Culture

Technology

Sports

World

A forecast starts uncertain.The record makes it useful.

Receive a simulated balance

Record what you believe

Build a public record

Turn consistency into progress

Unlock a material signal

Dawn

Dusk

Eclipse

Make uncertainty legible.

Predict the shiftbefore the market tips.

Signal log

Will alternative validator clients exceed 35% of Solana stake by Q2 2027?

Solana

Protocols

Governance

Tokens

Ecosystem

Crypto

Culture

Technology

Sports

World

A forecast starts uncertain.The record makes it useful.

Receive a simulated balance

Record what you believe

Build a public record

Turn consistency into progress

Unlock a material signal

Dawn

Dusk

Eclipse

Make uncertainty legible.