Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolves Yes if an audited, documented verifier is deployed on mainnet and usable without an allowlist.
Practice1,000 crMerit0 MP
Rewards protocolThe next progression layer is taking shapeComing soon →
A hypothetical protocol-capability milestone for verification of broadly usable proof systems.
Current Yes probability
49%
+4.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 32% |
| Jul 5 | 30% |
| Jul 6 | 33% |
| Jul 7 | 37% |
| Jul 8 | 37% |
| Jul 9 | 35% |
| Jul 10 | 35% |
| Jul 11 | 38% |
| Jul 12 | 41% |
| Jul 13 | 41% |
| Jul 14 | 39% |
| Jul 15 | 41% |
| Jul 16 | 44% |
| Jul 17 | 45% |
| Jul 18 | 44% |
| Jul 19 | 44% |
| Jul 20 | 46% |
| Jul 21 | 48% |
| Jul 22 | 49% |
| Jul 23 | 49% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if an audited, documented verifier is deployed on mainnet and usable without an allowlist.
Evidence source
Hypothetical protocol documentation
Adjacent signals
Protocols
Protocols
Protocols