Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolved Yes when the simulated verified-user count reached 103,400 before the deadline.
Practice1,000 crMerit0 MP
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A completed fictional connectivity pilot used solely as prototype content.
Current Yes probability
100%
+0.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 74% |
| Jul 5 | 75% |
| Jul 6 | 80% |
| Jul 7 | 82% |
| Jul 8 | 81% |
| Jul 9 | 80% |
| Jul 10 | 83% |
| Jul 11 | 87% |
| Jul 12 | 88% |
| Jul 13 | 86% |
| Jul 14 | 87% |
| Jul 15 | 90% |
| Jul 16 | 93% |
| Jul 17 | 93% |
| Jul 18 | 92% |
| Jul 19 | 94% |
| Jul 20 | 97% |
| Jul 21 | 99% |
| Jul 22 | 99% |
| Jul 23 | 100% |
Resolution criteria
Resolved Yes when the simulated verified-user count reached 103,400 before the deadline.
Evidence source
Equinox simulated connectivity report
Adjacent signals