Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolves Yes if the designated 30-day simulated average shows fees above 20% of total miner revenue.
Practice1,000 crMerit0 MP
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A generic crypto-network security-budget scenario using simulated data rather than a live chain forecast.
Current Yes probability
45%
−2.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 62% |
| Jul 5 | 58% |
| Jul 6 | 56% |
| Jul 7 | 58% |
| Jul 8 | 59% |
| Jul 9 | 57% |
| Jul 10 | 53% |
| Jul 11 | 53% |
| Jul 12 | 55% |
| Jul 13 | 55% |
| Jul 14 | 52% |
| Jul 15 | 50% |
| Jul 16 | 50% |
| Jul 17 | 51% |
| Jul 18 | 50% |
| Jul 19 | 47% |
| Jul 20 | 46% |
| Jul 21 | 47% |
| Jul 22 | 47% |
| Jul 23 | 45% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if the designated 30-day simulated average shows fees above 20% of total miner revenue.
Evidence source
Equinox simulated proof-of-work dashboard
Adjacent signals