Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolved No because the simulated median cost remained 8% above the predefined target.

A completed fictional scaling benchmark included as resolved prototype data.
Current Yes probability
0%
+0.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 18% |
| Jul 5 | 20% |
| Jul 6 | 17% |
| Jul 7 | 13% |
| Jul 8 | 13% |
| Jul 9 | 15% |
| Jul 10 | 14% |
| Jul 11 | 11% |
| Jul 12 | 8% |
| Jul 13 | 9% |
| Jul 14 | 10% |
| Jul 15 | 9% |
| Jul 16 | 6% |
| Jul 17 | 4% |
| Jul 18 | 5% |
| Jul 19 | 5% |
| Jul 20 | 3% |
| Jul 21 | 1% |
| Jul 22 | 0% |
| Jul 23 | 0% |
Resolution criteria
Resolved No because the simulated median cost remained 8% above the predefined target.
Evidence source
Equinox simulated scaling report
Adjacent signals