A fictional settlement-composition scenario derived from a prototype analytics sample.
Current Yes probability
74%
+1.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 54% |
| Jul 5 | 58% |
| Jul 6 | 61% |
| Jul 7 | 60% |
| Jul 8 | 58% |
| Jul 9 | 60% |
| Jul 10 | 64% |
| Jul 11 | 65% |
| Jul 12 | 64% |
| Jul 13 | 63% |
| Jul 14 | 65% |
| Jul 15 | 68% |
| Jul 16 | 69% |
| Jul 17 | 68% |
| Jul 18 | 68% |
| Jul 19 | 71% |
| Jul 20 | 73% |
| Jul 21 | 72% |
| Jul 22 | 72% |
| Jul 23 | 74% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if stable-value assets account for at least 25% of qualifying simulated volume during the final 30-day window.
Evidence source
Equinox simulated settlement index
Adjacent signals