An invented conference-announcement scenario designed to capture ecosystem breadth without implying organizer commitments.
Current Yes probability
47%
+2.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 22% |
| Jul 5 | 20% |
| Jul 6 | 22% |
| Jul 7 | 26% |
| Jul 8 | 29% |
| Jul 9 | 28% |
| Jul 10 | 27% |
| Jul 11 | 30% |
| Jul 12 | 34% |
| Jul 13 | 35% |
| Jul 14 | 34% |
| Jul 15 | 34% |
| Jul 16 | 38% |
| Jul 17 | 40% |
| Jul 18 | 41% |
| Jul 19 | 40% |
| Jul 20 | 42% |
| Jul 21 | 45% |
| Jul 22 | 47% |
| Jul 23 | 47% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if three distinct, functional consumer hardware products with Solana integrations are demonstrated on the official program.
Evidence source
Hypothetical conference program
Adjacent signals
Ecosystem
Ecosystem
Ecosystem