A hypothetical consumer-adoption milestone for an unnamed mobile application built around Solana rails.
Current Yes probability
61%
+3.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 89% |
| Jul 5 | 86% |
| Jul 6 | 81% |
| Jul 7 | 80% |
| Jul 8 | 82% |
| Jul 9 | 82% |
| Jul 10 | 78% |
| Jul 11 | 75% |
| Jul 12 | 75% |
| Jul 13 | 76% |
| Jul 14 | 74% |
| Jul 15 | 71% |
| Jul 16 | 69% |
| Jul 17 | 69% |
| Jul 18 | 69% |
| Jul 19 | 67% |
| Jul 20 | 64% |
| Jul 21 | 63% |
| Jul 22 | 63% |
| Jul 23 | 61% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if an independently verified public metrics release reports at least one million monthly active users.
Evidence source
Hypothetical verified usage report
Adjacent signals
Ecosystem
Ecosystem
Ecosystem