Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolves Yes if the fictional governance vote passes and its execution transaction is confirmed before the deadline.

This invented scenario examines token-holder support for a lower future emissions path without referring to a real proposal.
Current Yes probability
64%
+1.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 85% |
| Jul 5 | 82% |
| Jul 6 | 84% |
| Jul 7 | 85% |
| Jul 8 | 82% |
| Jul 9 | 78% |
| Jul 10 | 77% |
| Jul 11 | 79% |
| Jul 12 | 79% |
| Jul 13 | 75% |
| Jul 14 | 73% |
| Jul 15 | 73% |
| Jul 16 | 73% |
| Jul 17 | 72% |
| Jul 18 | 69% |
| Jul 19 | 67% |
| Jul 20 | 68% |
| Jul 21 | 67% |
| Jul 22 | 66% |
| Jul 23 | 64% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if the fictional governance vote passes and its execution transaction is confirmed before the deadline.
Evidence source
Hypothetical token governance portal
Adjacent signals