A simulated adoption threshold for an invented stable-value token in the Solana ecosystem.
Current Yes probability
36%
+6.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 10% |
| Jul 5 | 14% |
| Jul 6 | 18% |
| Jul 7 | 18% |
| Jul 8 | 16% |
| Jul 9 | 17% |
| Jul 10 | 21% |
| Jul 11 | 24% |
| Jul 12 | 23% |
| Jul 13 | 22% |
| Jul 14 | 24% |
| Jul 15 | 28% |
| Jul 16 | 29% |
| Jul 17 | 28% |
| Jul 18 | 29% |
| Jul 19 | 31% |
| Jul 20 | 34% |
| Jul 21 | 34% |
| Jul 22 | 34% |
| Jul 23 | 36% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if the prototype supply dashboard records more than 5 billion circulating units at any daily snapshot.
Evidence source
Equinox simulated supply dashboard
Adjacent signals