Resolution criteria
What determines the outcome
Resolves Yes if an independent public dashboard records a rolling 24-hour average above 5,000 non-vote transactions per second.

A network-performance scenario focused on sustained application throughput rather than a short peak. Figures are illustrative and do not describe current live performance.
Current Yes probability
58%
−2.0 pts24h
| Date | Yes probability |
|---|---|
| Jul 4 | 47% |
| Jul 5 | 44% |
| Jul 6 | 45% |
| Jul 7 | 49% |
| Jul 8 | 51% |
| Jul 9 | 49% |
| Jul 10 | 48% |
| Jul 11 | 50% |
| Jul 12 | 53% |
| Jul 13 | 53% |
| Jul 14 | 51% |
| Jul 15 | 51% |
| Jul 16 | 54% |
| Jul 17 | 56% |
| Jul 18 | 55% |
| Jul 19 | 54% |
| Jul 20 | 55% |
| Jul 21 | 57% |
| Jul 22 | 58% |
| Jul 23 | 58% |
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if an independent public dashboard records a rolling 24-hour average above 5,000 non-vote transactions per second.
Evidence source
Simulated independent performance dashboard
Adjacent signals